Tuesday, November 28, 2006

Ducks/Oilers: What might happen ON the ice

Caryle has a pretty good thing going in Anaheim. Beachemin came out of nowhere last year and him and Neidermayer form their #1 tandem which means Sean O'Donnel and this other scrub;) take the lesser min:) Their 5 and 6 D are treated as such in terms of TOI and are good enough that they don't kill you when they're out there to face the 3rd and 4th lines of the opposition.

Up front everything runs like clockwork for the Ducks. Moen-Pahlsson-Rob Neidermayer play the tough min and Penner-Marchant-Shannon take the second toughest min and that leaves Kunitz-McDonald-Selanne to feast on the lesser oppositin with the Perry/Getzlaf tandem getting the even softer min. Those last two lines see the last amount of time at TOI but get their numbers pumped by comprising the Ducks two PP units. Basically Caryle has muckers who accept that reality and then he strokes the offensive guys by giving them the matchups that should allow them to score and overall feel really good about themselves;)

Jiggy has also bounced back in goal and this team looks like it's only beatable 4 out of 7 times in the playoffs if A: the opposing netminder catches fire B: the opposing PP catches fire or C: Ana gets a tough break on the injury side.

The Oilers already met these guys once back in October and lost 6-2 but by my eye actually ouchanced the Ducks. If you come here often you know the guys at IOF believe that the majority of times you outchance your opp you'll win and if the Oilers carry as much of the play tonight as they did 14 games ago then everyone will go home happy.

The difference in that game was that Roloson was positively putrid and that's the opposite of how he's playing right now. DR is on fire heading into this match and even though the Oilers are without Staios and may be without Syrvet as well the outstanding play of Roloson will still allow them a chance for success.

How will MacT match his lines and how will Huddy run his defense? Well Huddy will certainly throw out Smith PLUS against the Selanne line and then everyone else will rotate against everyone else. MacT's gotten away from it lately but he's usually a guy who likes to run four lines but I'm thinking he'll cut it back to three tonight and he'll play the Horcoff line to the point of near exhaustion to try and compensate for the crew he's dressing on the backend.

9 Comments:

Blogger Dennis-IOF said...

Oilers up 1-0 after 20 and they certainly earned it. They've totally carried the play and Ana has directed lots of shot on goal but some of them have been blocked and some of them are even less harmless. Torres is going tonight and him and 19 are forming what I believe will eventually be 2/3'rds of the second tough min line behind the primary TM troika of 94-10-34. I believe this is the times time that 14/19 have played together and for whatever reason they just click.

Hemsky left the game early in the frame with a shoulder injury and he isn't coming back. I don't know what to make of this...hopefully it's not bad and the Oilers are keeping him out because they've become more cautious about playing guys who might be injured.

You'd think most D would be playing well if you didn't notice them but Pronger's elite and when he's going you certainly can notice him. Well...he really didn't play all that great in the first 20 and the most I noticed him was when 14 took a couple of jumps at him and when he was less than anxious to join a scrum late in the period when the Oil were swarming Gigure.

Jiggy was caught awful deep on 19's marker and he's given up some terrible goals over the years to Oil. He bounced back with great saves on 34 and 94 though.

Oilers down to 11 forwards already and I was expecting macT to run three lines anyway. I'd expect him to really ride the 14-19-15 line and see just what they can do.

Oilers PPV cast is most certainly taking the high road. I'd go so far as to say tehy've muted the crowd noise because the pronger reaction seems less audible than I thought it would be. They've also elected not to show any creative signs.

And they showed the more positive parts of Pronger's press conference. Basically...Oilers PPV has elected to lick his ass just like the players and mgmt have.

11/28/2006 8:01 pm  
Blogger Dennis-IOF said...

26 has figured out what will keep him around and will possibly get him another job should the Oilers decide to replace him. O'Donnell wants to fire up his team but 21 knows we can't afford that and then 26 comes out and earns a sound decision.

What about 15 going all power forward on Marchant on that nice chance for 19? When 15 cares he's good. Those nights are rare though.

I hate Selanne and his grandmotherly underbite.

11/28/2006 8:31 pm  
Blogger ToTheBank said...

Is it just me or is Roloson out playing the puck more because he doesnt trust the amateur night blue line?

11/28/2006 9:34 pm  
Blogger Dennis-IOF said...

Not the least bit surprised that the Oilers lost this game. They weren't even in it for the last 35 min of reg plus OT. It was a big mistake to dress six dman if one of them was Bergy and you knew he was sick. Right up until the last min I expected Ana to tie it but it's still a bit troubling that the Oilers have blown two third period home leads in the last minute of play. That has something to do with poise and something to do with bad bounces.

Of course it didn't help in this one that Hemsky left about 10 min in and the offense sorely lacked without him. 71 looked lost and 14-19 lost their early spark.

Oh well...another night of 16 doing nothing at ES plus the D looking rather sickly just might point Lowe in the right direction..

11/28/2006 9:50 pm  
Blogger namflashback said...

tothebank,

good observation, but he isn't the safest puck handler. he tried to push the puck up on what turned out to be the tying goal.

11/28/2006 10:41 pm  
Blogger Dennis-IOF said...

Yeah...I hate goalies who play the puck without realizing they don't have the skill to effectively do so. That's not me giving it to Roli mind you. I thought MAB wasn't gonna play in this one, and it turns out I was about a little less than 5 min of TOI to being right;), so I thought our D was gonna be razor thin but we only had a chance for a point because heading in Roli was pretty much at the height of his powers. And that's pretty much the way it turned out.

I can't fault him on the first two goals and did that Getzlaf shot hit anything? It's not like Roli to let in something like that as it was a pure 5 hole shot.

11/29/2006 10:05 am  
Blogger ToTheBank said...

That was my point with Roli, he should not venture to far from the crease, ever. But last night he was out there stick handling like Martin fucking Brodeur. We need some defence, stat. Watching FCP calmly through bombs from the top of the circle to the far blue line tape to tape made me angry.

The Selanne goal was all Smid, IMO. I have no idea what happened on the last two. Scramble down low, and then Roli looking like he'd already checked out on the game and wanted off of the ice on the last one, but I didn't catch any highlights, that game made me sick to my stomach.

11/29/2006 11:09 am  
Blogger Vic Ferrari said...

Great points all around Dennis. Especially on the decision to not dress seven dmen, but the rest of it too.

I watched this game off PVR well after the fact, by I managed to close myself off and not hear the result beforehand, so I fast forwarded through the intermission and between-whistles stuff for the most part. I did stop and listen to Moreau when I saw him as a guest in the box though. That "play to the score" shit that he said just kills me. If you want to see an extreme version of that start following soccer. Yeesh. I mean surely none of us want to see the Oilers D pinching or the forwards trying to beat guys one-on-one at their own blue line when they're clinging to a one goal lead, but sweet Lord, this team has two speeds, full throttle forward and slow reverse, there's just no in between.

Still, as bad as they looked in terms of possession after they got up 2-0, they really didn't give up all that many scoring chances at all, the problem was that they didn't creat a frickin thing.

I officially hate the Ducks now. Burke has always gotten on my tit, Scott "Jesus" Niedermayer is in need of a beat down, though in fairness to the guy he has played an impressive level of opposition in the past and done well. He's still a goof. This Pahlsson guy is starting to get on my tit as well. Add in the Pronger thing ... just nothing to like. I hope the Oilers meet them in the playoffs, I hate these tools more than the Flames at this point.

BTW: Let's hope that Lupul's inspired game was the start of a trend. A lot of guys struggle for consistency early in their careers, and not that he played a perfect game or anything, but if he keeps bringing that kind of intensity he's going to be a helluva player. Slim chance I know, but we can hope. :)

11/30/2006 3:34 pm  
Blogger Black Dog said...

You know what's scary Vic - Lupul is on pace for @ 28 goals, despite him pissing everyone off, never seeming to be a factor, bumping from line to line etc etc.

Weird. I could have sworn he had two or three and he has seven.

11/30/2006 5:55 pm  

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